December 11, 2023

Vice President Kamala Harris fares better than President Joe Biden in three key swing states when up against Donald Trump ahead of the 2024 presidential election, according to polling data published on Sunday.

While Biden will likely become the Democratic nominee as the incumbent, he is currently up against Marianne Williamson, best known for her work as a spiritual leader of the Church of Today, host of The Young Turks Cenk Uygur, and Representative Dean Phillips of Minnesota.

Although Harris said she plans to continue to be by Biden’s side as his running mate in 2024, she has been included in polls as a theoretical option for president as some Democrats say they do not want Biden to run for a second term. According to a CNN poll conducted from August 25 to August 31, two-thirds of Democrat-leaning voters said the party should not nominate Biden in 2024.

In a New York Times/Siena College poll that was conducted from October 22 to November 3, when voters were asked who they would choose for president if the options were between Harris and Trump, 47 percent in Michigan said Trump and 45 percent said Harris. Meanwhile, in a matchup between Biden and Trump, 48 percent of voters in Michigan chose the former president and 43 percent chose Biden.

Biden Harris
Vice President Kamala Harris speaks as President Joe Biden listens at the White House on September 22 in Washington, D.C. Harris fares better than Biden in three key swing states when up against Donald Trump ahead of the 2024 presidential election, according to polling data published on Sunday.
Alex Wong/Getty Images

In Georgia, Trump received 45 percent of the vote while the vice president nabbed 44 percent. However when Trump is up against Biden, he received 49 percent of the vote compared to Biden’s 43 percent.

Harris also gets more support in Nevada than Biden when each of them are up against Trump. Approximately 48 percent of voters in Nevada picked Trump over Harris, while Harris received 42 percent of voter support. However, when Biden is on the ballot with Trump, the former president has an 11-point lead, 52 to 41 percent.

Biden does better than Harris while on the ballot with Trump in Wisconsin and Arizona. In Wisconsin, the former president nabbed 47 percent of the vote while Harris received 46 percent. Biden had the lead over Trump in Wisconsin, 47 to 45 percent.

In Arizona, the former president beats Harris, 48 to 43 percent. And while Trump still wins over Biden in Arizona, 49 to 44 percent, the president still fared better than Harris in the state.

Biden and Harris received the same results in Pennsylvania. Trump received 47 percent of the vote when up against the vice president who received 44 percent. Biden also nabbed 44 percent against Trump, who received 48 percent.

The poll had a sample size of 3,662 registered voters. Meanwhile, the poll’s margin of error when the swing states are joined together is plus or minus 1.8 percentage points for all registered voters and plus or minus 2 percentage points for the likely electorate.

Kevin Wagner, a pollster and professor at Florida Atlantic University, previously told Newsweek via email that “it is important to remember that this is one poll, and it is over a year before the general election.”

“This often means that voters are not concentrating on the race and answers that they give can be highly changeable this far out. In a year, many things can change in the political environment as well causing voters to shift,” Wagner added.

Newsweek reached out to the White House via email for comment.

One critique that Biden has been receiving is about his age and mental capacity to run for a second term as he turns 81 later this month.

According to the Times/Siena College poll, 62 percent of voters in the six swing states believe that Biden does not have the mental sharpness to be an effective president compared to 35 percent who believe he does. When asked the same question about Trump, 44 percent of voters did not think he had the mental sharpness to be an effective president while 54 percent agreed that he did.

In a Redfield & Wilton Strategies/The Telegraph poll taken between October 7 and 9, two-thirds of voters in six states: Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Florida and North Carolina, agreed that Biden is too old to seek a second term. However, pluralities of voters in every state, except Florida, also agreed that Trump, who is 77, is also too old for a second term.